> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://blog.opinion.trade/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Opinion Prediction Market — Guides, Fees & How to Trade

> Learn how the Opinion prediction market works — how its fees compare to Polymarket and Kalshi, how to trade sports, esports, and the 2026 World Cup, plus step-by-step guides for beginners.

**Opinion is a prediction market for sports, esports, and the 2026 World Cup** — where you trade contracts on real-world outcomes at some of the lowest effective fees in the category, with an agentic AI oracle and web2-style onboarding. This learn hub explains how prediction markets work, how the **Opinion prediction market compares to Polymarket and Kalshi**, and how to place your first trade.

*Every event has a price. Every price has a story. This is where the curiosity becomes clarity.*

<Note>
  Whether you're new to prediction markets or already trading them, this is your starting point. Read in any order — every article is short, has one diagram, and ends with a FAQ.
</Note>

## What you'll get here

<CardGroup cols={3}>
  <Card title="The basics, plainly" icon="circle-question" href="/learn/what-is-a-prediction-market">
    What a prediction market actually is, why prices read like probabilities, and the difference between trading a market and taking sportsbook odds.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Platform comparisons" icon="scale-balanced" href="/learn/polymarket-vs-kalshi-vs-opinion">
    Side-by-side breakdowns of Polymarket, Kalshi, and Opinion — fees, regulation, market depth, and which fits your use case.
  </Card>

  <Card title="The 2026 World Cup" icon="futbol" href="/learn/world-cup-multi-choice-markets">
    Tournament winner, group stage, top scorer — and how to read live probabilities before, during, and after kickoff.
  </Card>
</CardGroup>

## New here?

If you've never touched a prediction market before, this is the gentlest path:

<CardGroup cols={1}>
  <Card title="Start with the beginner walkthrough" icon="play" href="/learn/prediction-markets-for-beginners-2026">
    A 2026 step-by-step guide. We'll explain what to expect on your first trade — order books, spreads, exits, resolution — and what makes a market easier or harder for newcomers.
  </Card>
</CardGroup>

## Already trading on Polymarket or Kalshi?

Jump straight to where Opinion fits in the category:

<CardGroup cols={2}>
  <Card title="How Opinion is different" icon="compass" href="/learn/polymarket-vs-kalshi-vs-opinion">
    The agentic AI oracle, the lowest sports-category fees, and where each of the three platforms wins.
  </Card>

  <Card title="The full fee breakdown" icon="calculator" href="/learn/polymarket-kalshi-opinion-fees">
    Real formulas from each platform's official docs, with worked examples at $50, $500, and \$5,000 trade sizes.
  </Card>
</CardGroup>

***

## Why this exists

Prediction markets are a new way to read uncertainty. Instead of asking *"what do people say will happen?"*, they ask *"what price are people willing to trade at?"* — and the answer is a live probability that updates as new information arrives.

This site is a small library for understanding that probability layer. It's especially focused on **sports, esports, and the 2026 World Cup** — the events where probability and culture overlap most naturally.

Read what's useful. Skip what isn't. Come back as new articles ship.

## Join the community

<CardGroup cols={4}>
  <Card title="X / Twitter" icon="x-twitter" href="https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz">
    Daily market commentary, probability shifts, and news.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Discord" icon="discord" href="https://discord.com/invite/opinionlabs">
    Live discussions, trader chat, and product updates.
  </Card>

  <Card title="YouTube" icon="youtube" href="https://www.youtube.com/@OpinionTrade">
    Short explainers and walkthroughs of how markets work.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Medium" icon="medium" href="https://medium.com/@info_82635">
    Long-form roadmap and narrative pieces.
  </Card>
</CardGroup>
